Joe Romm writes that the ACES climate bill is due to be considered by the Senate on September 8th. There had been earlier talk about trying to get the bill passed in August, but this delay provides a window for further pressure to be put on fence-sitters.
Nate Silver has put together an excellent analysis of expected fencesitters. The bottom line – a climate bill is attainable, but some compromises will likely be necessary to make it to 60 votes:
Overall, this is a slightly better assessment than I expected. Although the model considers only 52 Senators to be more likely than not to vote for the bill, there are somewhere between 62-66 votes that are perhaps potentially in play. But Joe Mauer-like precision will be required in targeting the undecided, and further compromises would almost certainly be needed, some of them designed to placate as few as one senator. The question is how many ornaments the Democrats could place on the Christmas Tree before it starts to collapse under its own weight.